Will Perena launch a token by ___?
As of October 25, 2026 at 02:40 UTC, September 30, 2026 has the highest implied probability at 58%.
OUTCOMES
| Provider | Outcome | Implied | 24h vol | Liquidity | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | September 30, 2026 | 58% | 412.3 | 412.3 | Sep 26, 2026, 21:23 UTC |
| Polymarket | December 31, 2026 | 28% | 98 | 98 | Oct 25, 2026, 02:40 UTC |
HISTORY
Last recorded sample: 2026-10-25 02:37 UTC
Historical data
| Time (UTC) | Series | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 02:37 UTC | polymarket-1038818 | 8% |
| Time (UTC) | Series | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 02:40 UTC | polymarket-1038818 | 230.477 |
MOVEMENT
The implied probability rose 14.3 percentage points over 24 hours.
INSIGHTS
U-Score: 78 · Methodology
- high
Insydr detected unusually high volume relative to this market's recent baseline.
How we measure this - high
Insydr U-Score is elevated versus this market's recent activity profile.
How we measure this
LIQUIDITY
Observed liquidity across tracked outcomes is about 510.3.
RESOLUTION
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: polymarket-gamma
RELATED
Want live order books, wallet alerts, and screener filters? Open the Insydr dashboard.
Open dashboard