Next Prime Minister of Romania?
As of September 8, 2026 at 06:37 UTC, Vasile Dîncu has the highest implied probability at 99%.
OUTCOMES
| Provider | Outcome | Implied | 24h vol | Liquidity | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Mugur Isărescu | 10% | 501 | 501 | Jun 25, 2026, 10:30 UTC |
| Polymarket | Mircea Geoană | 10% | 1 | 1 | Jun 25, 2026, 10:30 UTC |
| Polymarket | Anca Dragu | 1% | 128.1 | 128.1 | Jun 25, 2026, 10:30 UTC |
| Polymarket | Lucian Isar | 20% | 501 | 501 | Jun 25, 2026, 10:30 UTC |
| Polymarket | Cătălin Predoiu | 93% | 669.2 | 669.2 | Jun 25, 2026, 10:30 UTC |
MOVEMENT
The implied probability rose 12.25 percentage points over 24 hours.
INSIGHTS
U-Score: 58 · Methodology
- high
Insydr detected unusually high volume relative to this market's recent baseline.
How we measure this - high
Insydr U-Score is elevated versus this market's recent activity profile.
How we measure this
LIQUIDITY
Observed liquidity across tracked outcomes is about 86.2K.
RESOLUTION
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: polymarket-gamma
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