Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
The retained snapshot contains inconsistent mutually exclusive probabilities. Verified odds and derived metrics are unavailable.
OUTCOMES
| Provider | Outcome | Implied | 24h vol | Liquidity | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | — | — | — | Jun 25, 2026, 10:17 UTC |
| Polymarket | Markwayne Mullin | — | — | — | Jul 15, 2026, 19:57 UTC |
| Polymarket | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | — | — | — | Oct 21, 2026, 04:32 UTC |
| Polymarket | Karoline Leavitt | — | — | — | Aug 3, 2026, 23:01 UTC |
| Polymarket | Pete Hegseth | — | — | — | Oct 21, 2026, 04:32 UTC |
| Polymarket | Marco Rubio | — | — | — | Oct 21, 2026, 04:32 UTC |
| Polymarket | Scott Bessent | — | — | — | Oct 21, 2026, 04:32 UTC |
| Polymarket | Tulsi Gabbard | — | — | — | Jun 25, 2026, 11:46 UTC |
| Polymarket | Lee Zeldin | — | — | — | Oct 21, 2026, 12:21 UTC |
| Polymarket | Howard Lutnick | — | — | — | Oct 21, 2026, 12:21 UTC |
| Polymarket | Kash Patel | — | — | — | Oct 21, 2026, 12:21 UTC |
| Polymarket | Stephen Miller | — | — | — | Oct 21, 2026, 16:58 UTC |
| Polymarket | Susie Wiles | — | — | — | Oct 24, 2026, 18:06 UTC |
| Polymarket | Dan Scavino | — | — | — | Oct 24, 2026, 18:06 UTC |
| Polymarket | David Sacks | — | — | — | Oct 24, 2026, 18:06 UTC |
| Polymarket | Russell Vought | — | — | — | Oct 24, 2026, 18:06 UTC |
| Polymarket | Tom Homan | — | — | — | Oct 24, 2026, 18:06 UTC |
| Polymarket | John Ratcliffe | — | — | — | Oct 24, 2026, 18:06 UTC |
| Polymarket | Kristi Noem | — | — | — | Oct 24, 2026, 19:19 UTC |
MOVEMENT
This market does not yet have a full 24-hour history.
RESOLUTION
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Source: polymarket-gamma
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