Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Exchange observations verified at 2026-11-05T12:34:44.828Z. Among the displayed outcomes with verified prices, Nithya Raman has the highest reported implied probability at 99.85%.
OUTCOMES
Dated exchange prices, shown without normalization. Polymarket uses the last traded price when its spread exceeds $0.10. Prices from separate contracts and trade times may not total 100%.
| Provider | Outcome | Exchange price | Spread (pp) | 24h vol | Liquidity | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Nithya Raman | 99.85% | 0.10 | 91K | 68.7K | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Karen Bass | 0.1% | — | 78.3K | 101K | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Adam Miller | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Asaad Alnajjar | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Austin Beutner | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Gina Viola | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Lindsey Horvath | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Monica Rodriguez | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Rae Huang | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Rick Caruso | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
| Polymarket | Spencer Pratt | 0% | — | — | — | Nov 5, 2026, 12:34 UTC |
MOVEMENT
This market does not yet have a full 24-hour history.
LIQUIDITY
Observed liquidity across tracked outcomes is about 169.7K. Average observed spread is 0.1 percentage points.
RESOLUTION
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Source: polymarket-gamma
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