Who will Bernie endorse?
As of September 8, 2026 at 07:45 UTC, James Talarico - TX-Sen has the highest implied probability at 90%.
OUTCOMES
| Provider | Outcome | Implied | 24h vol | Liquidity | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | James Talarico - TX-Sen | 90% | 223.9 | 223.9 | Sep 8, 2026, 07:45 UTC |
| Polymarket | Kshama Sawant - WA-09 | 30% | 30.2 | 30.2 | Sep 8, 2026, 07:45 UTC |
| Polymarket | Dan Osborn - NE-Sen | 35% | 223.9 | 223.9 | Sep 8, 2026, 07:45 UTC |
| Polymarket | Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov | 9% | 193.7 | 193.7 | Sep 8, 2026, 07:45 UTC |
| Polymarket | Alan Grayson - FL-Sen | 9% | 223.9 | 223.9 | Sep 8, 2026, 07:45 UTC |
HISTORY
| Time (UTC) | Series | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026, 11:59 UTC | polymarket-593973 | 45% |
| Sep 3, 2026, 14:20 UTC | polymarket-593973 | 45% |
| Sep 3, 2026, 17:05 UTC | polymarket-593973 | 45% |
| Sep 3, 2026, 20:27 UTC | polymarket-593973 | 45% |
| Sep 3, 2026, 22:19 UTC | polymarket-593973 | 45% |
| Sep 4, 2026, 00:10 UTC | polymarket-593973 | 45% |
| Sep 4, 2026, 01:51 UTC |
MOVEMENT
The implied probability rose 7 percentage points over 24 hours.
INSIGHTS
U-Score: 55 · Methodology
- high
Insydr detected unusually high volume relative to this market's recent baseline.
How we measure this - high
Insydr U-Score is elevated versus this market's recent activity profile.
How we measure this
LIQUIDITY
Observed liquidity across tracked outcomes is about 1.1K.
RESOLUTION
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
Source: polymarket-gamma
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