MLB World Series Champion 2026
As of September 7, 2026 at 09:02 UTC, Baltimore Orioles has the highest implied probability at 97%.
OUTCOMES
| Provider | Outcome | Implied | 24h vol | Liquidity | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | New York Yankees | 13% | 5.8K | 5.8K | Aug 9, 2026, 05:46 UTC |
| Polymarket | Toronto Blue Jays | 2% | 4.4K | 4.4K | Aug 26, 2026, 05:24 UTC |
| Polymarket | Tampa Bay Rays | 96% | 867.5 | 867.5 | Aug 31, 2026, 15:12 UTC |
| Polymarket | Baltimore Orioles | 97% | 7.5K | 7.5K | Aug 28, 2026, 09:27 UTC |
| Polymarket | Boston Red Sox | 1% | 10.1K | 10.1K | Sep 5, 2026, 13:24 UTC |
HISTORY
| Time (UTC) | Series | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026, 12:08 UTC | polymarket-1235562 | 7% |
| Sep 5, 2026, 12:09 UTC | polymarket-1235562 | 7% |
| Sep 5, 2026, 12:10 UTC | polymarket-1235562 | 7% |
| Sep 5, 2026, 12:12 UTC | polymarket-1235562 | 7% |
| Sep 5, 2026, 12:12 UTC | polymarket-1235562 | 7% |
| Sep 5, 2026, 12:12 UTC | polymarket-1235562 | 7% |
| Sep 5, 2026, 12:14 UTC |
MOVEMENT
The implied probability rose 0.1 percentage points over 24 hours.
INSIGHTS
U-Score: 55 · Methodology
- high
Insydr detected unusually high volume relative to this market's recent baseline.
How we measure this - high
Insydr U-Score is elevated versus this market's recent activity profile.
How we measure this
LIQUIDITY
Observed liquidity across tracked outcomes is about 595.2K.
RESOLUTION
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: polymarket-gamma
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