Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

As of September 8, 2026 at 07:56 UTC, June 30 has the highest implied probability at 99%.

OUTCOMES

HISTORY

MOVEMENT

The implied probability rose 1.05 percentage points over 24 hours.

INSIGHTS

U-Score: 56 · Methodology

• high

  Insydr detected unusually high volume relative to this market's recent baseline.

  How we measure this
• high

  Insydr U-Score is elevated versus this market's recent activity profile.

  How we measure this

LIQUIDITY

Observed liquidity across tracked outcomes is about 64.4K.

Order book liquidity methodology

RESOLUTION

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: polymarket-gamma

Resolution archives methodology

RELATED

• Iran leader end…: Prediction Market Odds by Outcome | Insydrsame category
• Iran leadership…: Prediction Market Odds by Outcome | Insydrsame category