Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
As of August 16, 2026 at 14:38 UTC, Anduril has the highest implied probability at 22%.
OpenOtherCloses Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTCResolve window Jan 8, 2027, 15:00 UTC
OUTCOMES
| Provider | Outcome | Implied | 24h vol | Liquidity | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Anduril | 22% | 1.3K | 1.3K | Aug 16, 2026, 14:38 UTC |
| Kalshi | Anthropic | 12% | 674.5 | 674.5 | Aug 16, 2026, 14:38 UTC |
| Kalshi | Boeing | 16% | 246.4 | 246.4 | Aug 16, 2026, 14:38 UTC |
| Kalshi | Freeport-McMoRan | 10% | 9.4 | 9.4 | Aug 16, 2026, 14:38 UTC |
| Kalshi | GlobalFoundries | 9% | 0 | 0 | Aug 16, 2026, 14:38 UTC |
MOVEMENT
The implied probability was unchanged over 24 hours.
INSIGHTS
U-Score: 24 · Methodology
LIQUIDITY
Observed liquidity across tracked outcomes is about 35.7K.
RESOLUTION
Resolution follows the provider contract for this market.
Source: kalshi-public-api
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