Largest Company end of December 2026?
As of September 8, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, Saudi Aramco has the highest implied probability at 80%.
OpenOtherCloses Dec 31, 2026, 00:00 UTCResolve window Dec 31, 2026, 00:00 UTC
OUTCOMES
| Provider | Outcome | Implied | 24h vol | Liquidity | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | NVIDIA | 65% | 1.2K | 1.2K | Sep 8, 2026, 04:37 UTC |
| Polymarket | Microsoft | 70% | 2.5K | 2.5K | Sep 1, 2026, 14:15 UTC |
| Polymarket | Apple | 8% | 1.8K | 1.8K | Sep 8, 2026, 04:37 UTC |
| Polymarket | Alphabet | 22% | 631.5 | 631.5 | Sep 7, 2026, 10:10 UTC |
| Polymarket | Tesla | 70% | 2.4K | 2.4K | Sep 1, 2026, 14:15 UTC |
| Polymarket |
HISTORY
| Time (UTC) | Series | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026, 03:27 UTC | polymarket-676739 | 81% |
| Sep 8, 2026, 03:27 UTC | polymarket-676739 | 20% |
| Sep 8, 2026, 03:28 UTC | polymarket-676739 | 80% |
| Sep 8, 2026, 03:28 UTC | polymarket-676739 | 20% |
| Sep 8, 2026, 03:29 UTC | polymarket-676739 | 20% |
| Sep 8, 2026, 03:30 UTC | polymarket-676739 | 20% |
| Sep 8, 2026, 03:30 UTC |
MOVEMENT
The implied probability rose 1 percentage point over 24 hours.
INSIGHTS
U-Score: 56 · Methodology
- high
Insydr detected unusually high volume relative to this market's recent baseline.
How we measure this - high
Insydr U-Score is elevated versus this market's recent activity profile.
How we measure this
LIQUIDITY
Observed liquidity across tracked outcomes is about 18.7K.
RESOLUTION
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: polymarket-gamma
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